10/18/2012, 00.00
CHINA
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Chinese economy slows, but with some positive signs

by Wang Zhicheng
GDP growth is less than target set by the leadership, but in September industrial output, retail sales, exports increased. Inflation also drops. Analysts divided: there are signs of stabilization, or maybe data manipulation ahead of the Communist Party Congress.

Beijing (AsiaNews) - China's gross domestic product (GDP) grew by 7.4% in the third quarter this year, compared with a year ago. The growth is less when compared to 7.6 in the second quarter, but there is also some positive data, such as the growth of industrial output and the acceleration of investment in fixed capital.

Figures released by the National Statistics show that on the one hand for the first time in three years, the target set by the leadership set for 2012of an increase of 7.5 % from 8% has not been achieved.

For at least three decades China has had growth rates of over 10%, but the global crisis - and especially the decrease in exports to Europe and the United States - has reduced the performance, prompting many economists to suggest China should increase domestic demand.

Other data for the month of September, however, shows a recovery, implying that the country has reached the minimum level from which it can only rise. Last month, industrial output grew by 9.2% (in August it was 8.9), retail sales grew by 14.2; inflation is officially at 1.9 while exports grew 9.9 in a year of (in August it was 2.2).

Several analysts see this as a stabilization of the economy of the Chinese giant. Others fear that - since the Office of statistics is controlled by the Party leadership - the positive figures serve to convey an atmosphere of greater optimism before the Communist Party Congress scheduled for November 8.

 

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