Egypt votes for new president amid disappointment and hope
Cairo (AsiaNews /
Agencies) - Polls open today for the election of the new Egyptian president, 15
months after the ouster of Hosni Mubarak, followed by riots in Tahrir Square.
At
least 50 million Egyptians are being asked to vote between now and tomorrow
under tight security control of the army that took over power temporarily in
February 2011.
The
Supreme Council of the Armed Forces has promised that after the elections, the
army will hand over power to a civilian government, but back home, many are
betting that the military will do everything to maintain its economic and
political influence which it has enjoyed for almost 50 years, since
the days of Nasser.
The main candidates are:
Ahmed
Shafiq, a former Air Force commander, who was briefly prime minister during the
riots of February 2011;
Amr
Moussa, former minister at the time of Mubarak and former secretary of the Arab
League;
Mohammed
Mursi, head of the Justice and Freedom Party, the Muslim Brotherhood;
Abdul
Moneim Aboul Fotouh, a Muslim candidate, but detached from the Muslim
Brotherhood.
There
are other candidates, but it is very likely that the race will be between these
four. All
of them are expressions of military power, of the establishment of Mubarak, the
Muslim Brotherhood. The
Democrats and liberal groups that gave birth to the Arab spring, which toppled
the Rais and demanded a change in Egypt, failed in producing their own candidate.
It
is likely that their vote will go to Abdul Fotouh, a Muslim, but non-ideological
and open to new ideas, who has received the support of liberals, Islamists,
women, and several MPs.
The
battle will be tighter between Mursi and Amr Moussa. Mursi
is supported by the Muslim Brotherhood and the mullahs, who are influencing the
vote of the rural population through their religious directives. But
the Muslim Brotherhood already controls the parliament and especially in the
cities there is an attempt to curb their influence.
Amr
Moussa is in fact a man of the Mubarak era, although he is careful to show
himself as independent. Since
the military does not enjoy popularity in the country, it is likely they hope
in a Moussa victory, with whom they could share power. It
is estimated that the economic power of the army stands at around one third of
the total volume of trade in Egypt.
Election
slogans, which purport freedom, are wasted: "The first free elections in 5
thousand years." But
the danger is that the dissatisfaction of not finding suitable candidates, will
lead to new tensions and clashes.
In
the 15 months since Mubarak's fall, Egypt has seen many protests, often stifled
by the army violence. But the economy is the main concern.
Foreign
investment in the country fell from 6.4 billion U.S. dollars in 2010 to 500
million in 2011, revenue for tourism fell from 12.5 billion U.S. dollars in
2010 to about 8.8 in 2011.
Added
to this is the increase in prices of food (sugar, oil, rice, tomatoes) and
energy (gas, oil, petrol). Many
fathers cannot provide sufficient food for their families. Analysts
say that "the economic, social and security situation of the Egyptian
middle have become worse than under Mubarak."
Much
of the population points the finger at the military, unable to manage the
transition to democracy.
19/07/2011